Don A. Moore

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Don A. Moore
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Don Andrew Moore

(1970-11-24) November 24, 1970 (age 52)
Saint Paul, Minnesota, U.S.
CitizenshipUnited States of America
  • M.S.O.B.
  • Ph.D. in Organization Behavior
  • Psychology, concentration in Natural History
Alma mater
  • Carleton College
  • Northwestern University
  • Author
  • Academic
  • Consultant
Spouse(s)Sarah Miller
  • Richard Moore (father)
  • Lillian Moore (mother)

Don Andrew Moore is an author, academic, and consultant who specializes in the psychology of decision-making with a particular interest in overconfidence. He is the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair I of Leadership and Communication.[1] at UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business where he teaches classes on leadership, negotiation, and decision making. Moore holds a doctorate in Organization Behavior from Northwestern University.

Recently, Moore released the book Perfectly Confident: How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely[2]


Moore was born in Saint Paul, Minnesota, to Richard and Lillian Moore. He attended Second Foundation, a free school in Minneapolis. During 1980, his family lived in Berlin, Germany, for 6 months and he attended the John F. Kennedy School. In 1982, his family moved to Johannesburg, South Africa, where they lived for 5 years. Moore completed the last two years of high school in Pocatello, Idaho.

Moore married Sarah Miller in 1999. They have two children: Josh, born in 2002, and Anderson, born in 2005.


1996-2000: Kellogg Graduate School of Management, Northwestern University. M.S.O.B. (1998), Ph.D. (2000).

1989-1993: Carleton College. Majors: Psychology, concentration in Natural History


Since 2014, Moore has been the Lorraine Tyson Mitchell Chair of Leadership and Communication I at UC Berkeley’s Haas School of Business where he has been on faculty since 2010[3]. He is also the current faculty director of UC Berkeley's Xlab[4]. Prior to that, he taught at Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business as an assistant professor from 2000 until 2010[5]. He has been a consultant and editor[6] of many different journals and publications, and has organized and spoken at several conferences[7][8].

Upon graduating high school, he worked for McMaster-Carr Supply Company in Elmhurst, Illinois until July of 1995, when he left to work as a research assistant to Max Bazerman in the Organization Behavior Department at the Kellogg Graduate School of Management at Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois, before starting in the Ph.D. program in the fall of 1996.

Publications and notable work

Moore was among the co-leaders of the Good Judgment Project, a forecasting tournament which held an outstanding record for predicting outcomes of major world events[9]. The project was sponsored by the U.S. government’s Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA).

Moore’s work has been covered in various newspapers and magazines including but not limited to the New York Times[10], Washington Post[11], Wall Street Journal[12], Money, The Economist, The New Yorker[13], Business Week, the Rationally Speaking podcast, Psychology Today, Forbes[14], Kiplinger’s, and USA Today. He has been interviewed on National Public Radio, KQED-FM (San Francisco), the Methodology for Psychology podcast, the Washington Post, Nightly Business Report, CNNfn, WNPR public radio, KCBS, and KDKA talk radio (Pittsburgh).

In addition to the aforementioned citations, he has also written articles for the Los Angeles Times[15], Harvard Business Review[16][17], Psychology Today[18][19], Forbes[20], Fortune[21], the San Francisco Chronicle, The New Yorker, USA Today, and The Wall Street Journal.

Currently Moore serves on a number of boards including the California Management Review (2019-present)[22], Berkeley Institute for Transparency in the Social Sciences (2016 – present)[23], PsyArXiv (2016-present)[24], Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (2015-present), Psychological Science (2015-present), and Judgment and Decision Making (2012-present).

He has published two books: Judgment and Managerial Decision Making, co-authored with Max Bazerman, as well as Perfectly Confident: How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely.

In the media



  1. "Don A. Moore". Berkeley Haas. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  2. Counts, Laura. "5 tips for calibrating your confidence from Prof. Don Moore's new book". Haas News | Berkeley Haas. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  3. "Don A. Moore". Berkeley Haas. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  4. "Xlab | About". Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  5. "Don Moore". 2017-06-02. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  6. "Open Access Week 2016: An Interview with Collabra: Psychology Senior Editor, Don Moore". UC Press Blog. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  7. "NSF Award Search: Award#0302715 - Conference on Conflict of Interest, Carnegie Mellon University in September, 2003". Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  8. Morewedge, Carey (2009-11-19). "[Jdm-society] Call for papers - Behavioral Decision Research in Management Conference - June 10-13, 2010 (Pittsburgh, PA)". Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  9. Tom, Pamela; Berkeley, U. C. (2017-06-22). "Predicting the future with the wisdom of crowds". University of California. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  10. Nyhan, Brendan (2016-01-14). "Everybody Loves a Winner. So What Happens if Trump Loses?". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  11. FerdmanBioBio, Roberto A. Ferdman closeRoberto A. "Researchers have found a really good reason not to be an optimist". Washington Post. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  12. "Don A. Moore Ph.D." Psychology Today. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  13. Surowiecki, James. "The Talking Cure". The New Yorker. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  14. Lyons, Rich. "Three Ways Overconfidence Can Sink Your Ship". Forbes. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  15. Facebook; Twitter; options, Show more sharing; Facebook; Twitter; LinkedIn; Email; URLCopied!, Copy Link; Print (2020-03-26). "Op-Ed: Trump's overconfidence has always been dangerous. With coronavirus, it's deadly". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 2020-06-15. {{cite web}}: |last= has generic name (help)
  16. Moore, Don A. (2015-02-10). "Smart Leaders Are OK with Seeming Uncertain". Harvard Business Review. ISSN 0017-8012. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  17. Moore, Don A.; Haran, Uriel (2014-05-19). "A Simple Tool for Making Better Forecasts". Harvard Business Review. ISSN 0017-8012. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  18. "Optimism and Nuclear War". Psychology Today. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  19. "Don A. Moore Ph.D." Psychology Today. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  20. Forum, Forbes Leadership. "Stop Being Deceived by Interviews When You're Hiring". Forbes. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  21. "Articles by Don Moore | Fortune". Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  22. "Publication Information". California Management Review. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  23. "People". Berkeley Initiative for Transparency in the Social Sciences. 2015-10-12. Retrieved 2020-06-15.
  24. "Psyarxiv". Retrieved 2020-06-15.

External links

This article "Don A. Moore" is from Wikipedia. The list of its authors can be seen in its historical. Articles taken from Draft Namespace on Wikipedia could be accessed on Wikipedia's Draft Namespace.